Coronavirus Pandemic (COVID-19)

[Bob Kuczewski]

https://www.vox.com/2020/4/10/21216876/trump-coronavirus-briefing-testing-social-distancing-reopening-economy
Trump is woefully confused about why more coronavirus testing is vital

Public health experts ...

More Trump Trump Trump.   

Country/State	Governing Leader	Deaths per Million
Spain	Pedro Sánchez	368
Italy	Sergio Mattarella	329
Belgium	Sophie Wilmès	311
France	Emmanuel Macron	221
Netherlands	Mark Rutte	160
United Kingdom	Boris Johnson	156
Switzerland	Walter Thurnherr	128
New York	Andrew Cuomo	478
New Jersey	Phil Murphy	265
Louisiana	John Bel Edwards	180
Connecticut	Ned Lamont	155
Michigan	Gretchen Whitmer	149
Massachusetts	Charlie Baker	111
United States	Donald Trump	67

Brian, you have ignored Sánchez, Mattarella, Wilmès, Macron, Rutte, Johnson, Thurnherr, Cuomo, Murphy, Edwards, Lamont, Whitmer, and Baker. Yet they all govern populations with much higher death rates than the United States.

Have you been tested for Trump Derangement Syndrome yet?

[Bill Cummings]

The true fatality rate of Covid-19 is still unclear:
https://youtu.be/_LG-so-8qwg

[Bob Kuczewski]

Big score today ... a 12 pack:

Scott_12_Pack.png (77.17 KiB) Viewed 3542 times

And I only had to visit 2 stores to get it.
This country has lost its collective mind.

[Bob Kuczewski]

Recent history of daily new cases and daily new deaths in the United States:

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20200413_DD.png (31.09 KiB) Viewed 3539 times

[Bob Kuczewski]

Best case scenario 100,000 to 200,000 deaths, worst case 1.6-2.2 million deaths. We are not doing things perfectly.

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Savannah Guthrie: Dr Faucci said yesterday we could see millions of cases in this country and as many as one to two hundred thousand deaths. Do you agree with that analysis? Is that a worse case scenario or something that we should prepare ourselves as potentially likely?

Dr. Birx: So in the flu models, the worse case scenario is between 1.6 million and 2.2 million deaths. That's the projection if you do nothing. So we've never really done all of these things that we're doing. We put them into a model. We've looked at the Italy data with their self isolation and that's where we come up with if we do things together well - almost perfectly - we could get in the range of 100,000 to 200,000 fatalities.

So according to Dr. Birx (as quoted by Brian), if the total U.S. deaths stays in or below the range of 100,000 to 200,000 we will have done things "almost perfectly".

[brianscharp]

I think in some of the metro areas, we were late in getting people to follow the fifteen day guidelines...

[Bob Kuczewski]

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/corona ... us-sources

Speaking to "The Story" Wednesday evening, Secretary of State Mike Pompeo remarked: "What we do know is we know that this virus originated in Wuhan, China. We know there is the Wuhan Institute of Virology just a handful of miles away from where the wet market was. There is still lots to learn. You should know that the United States government is working diligently to figure it out."

Concerning the State Department cables warning about the Wuhan laboratory, Pompeo said the installation "contained highly contagious materials — we knew that, we knew that they were working on this program, many countries have programs like this. In countries that are open and transparent, they have the ability to control them and keep them safe, and they allow outside observers in to make sure all the processes and procedures are right. I only wish that that had happened in this place."

On Thursday, China's foreign ministry pushed back on the suspicion that the virus escaped from the facility, by citing statements from the World Health Organization that there is no evidence the coronavirus came from a laboratory.

Americans were originally helping train the Chinese in a program called PREVENT well before the Chinese started working on this virus. The French government helped the Chinese set up the Wuhan lab.

China "100 percent" suppressed data and changed data, the sources tell Fox News. Samples were destroyed, contaminated areas scrubbed, some early reports erased, and academic articles stifled. 

There were doctors and journalists who were "disappeared" warning of the spread of the virus and its contagious nature and human to human transmission. China moved quickly to shut down travel domestically from Wuhan to the rest of China, but did not stop international flights from Wuhan.

Additionally, the sources tell Fox News the World Health Organization (WHO) was complicit from the beginning in helping China cover its tracks.     

Trump announced at the White House coronavirus news briefing in the Rose Garden on Tuesday that the United States will immediately halt all funding for the WHO, saying it had put "political correctness over lifesaving measures." The United States is the WHO's largest single donor, and the State Department had previously planned to provide the agency $893 million in the current two-year funding period.

[Bob Kuczewski]

All Deaths and COVID-19 Deaths in the United States by Week

  Data from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control at time of post:
      Web page: https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/COVID19/index.htm
      Download: https://data.cdc.gov/api/views/hc4f-j6n ... ormat=true

Week Ending	All Deaths in U.S.	COVID-19 Deaths in U.S.
2/1/2020	56,589	0
2/8/2020	57,114	0
2/15/2020	56,143	0
2/22/2020	55,690	0
2/29/2020	55,036	5
3/7/2020	54,476	20
3/14/2020	52,704	44
3/21/2020	52,271	454
3/28/2020	53,687	2,339
4/4/2020	52,992	5,457
4/11/2020	35,863	4,811

It's good to keep everything in perspective.

[brianscharp]

https://www.miamiherald.com/news/corona ... 50696.html
Florida blocks COVID-19 information from public as Gov. Ron DeSantis touts transparency

Testing for the virus remains one of the most critical issues facing the state, but the Florida Department of Health has yet to provide contracts with the private labs that have done the bulk of the work in Florida. And for days, it has been unable to provide details about a backlog of private testing results, which experts say could help epidemiologists map out the forecasts that have helped governments track the spread of the virus, prepare hospitals for potential surges — and inform decisions about when it becomes safe to remove social distancing and other precautions.

“What we need is a complete picture of all the tests and the results. Otherwise, it’s like flying by instruments but the instruments haven’t been plugged in yet,” said Kenneth Goodman, director of the University of Miami’s Institute of Bioethics and Health Policy. “It’s all about data.”

https://www.businessinsider.com/chart-u ... -in-2018-1

The coronavirus has spread rapidly in the US, and the number of deaths has grown exponentially along with it. From April 9 to 15, at least 13,613 people died from COVID-19, compared with 9,801 the week before.

For comparison, 12,451 people died on average per week from heart diseases and 11,521 people died per week from cancer in 2018. Fewer than 800 people died from car crashes in any week that year.

Even bad flu seasons, like the 2017-18 season, in which an estimated 61,000 Americans were killed — including 7,119 by the flu or pneumonia in a single week — didn't claim lives as quickly as COVID-19 did last week.

To make it easier to understand how the causes compare over the course of the year, we calculated the average weekly deaths from annual data on heart disease and cancer. We also combined data from the 2017-18 and 2018-19 flu seasons (which start in October in the CDC data) to show the total number of deaths in 2018.

The numbers in the chart represent how many deaths per million people that different causes were responsible for each week, not how many total people they killed.

[Bill Cummings]

In today’s news paper, Las Cruces Sun-News
Monday April 20, 2020, pictured is a Cafe worker
from Corona, NM (no pun here).
Yet another person that thinks that the thin
metal strip along the top of the respirator is
there to maintain the shape the same as when
it comes out of the box. IT IS NOT!
The metal strip is there for the person wearing
the mask to bend the metal strip to close the
space on either side of the nose.
First of all respirators (fiber type) don’t protect
100 % and one that doesn’t fit properly protects
even less. Food workers should know this.