Coronavirus Pandemic (COVID-19)

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Coronavirus Pandemic (COVID-19)

Postby Bob Kuczewski » Thu Mar 12, 2020 5:55 am

https://youtu.be/I09RkjLcFpU



Read on Wikipedia:

Wikipedia wrote:Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is an infectious disease caused by the virus strain severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). Worldwide spread of the disease began for the first time in 2019 and has developed into the 2019–20 coronavirus pandemic. Common symptoms include fever, cough, and shortness of breath. Muscle pain, sputum production and sore throat are some of the less common symptoms. While the majority of cases result in mild symptoms, some progress to pneumonia and multi-organ failure. The case fatality rate is estimated at between 1% and 5% but varies by age and other health conditions.
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Re: Coronavirus Pandemic (COVID-19)

Postby Bob Kuczewski » Sat Mar 14, 2020 1:47 am

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Re: Coronavirus Pandemic (COVID-19)

Postby Bill Cummings » Sat Mar 14, 2020 7:44 am

It may be helpful if everyone started a diary or calendar of the
places and people you have come in contact with.
12 days seems to be the infectious incubation period
that people could be transmitting the virus before feeling sick themselves.
Use common sense and like happened during the AIDS breakout
someone on TV saying, “ There is no scientific evidence that a
child biting another child in the school’s playground
can transmit the AIDS virus.” proved to be an idiot when the
dust settled. The idiot was technically correct at the time but
parents trusting the (Know it all.) idiot left their children at risk
of the biting child.
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Re: Coronavirus Pandemic (COVID-19)

Postby Bob Kuczewski » Sat Mar 14, 2020 11:38 am

Panic at Walmart:
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Panic at Vons:
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Re: Coronavirus Pandemic (COVID-19)

Postby brianscharp » Sat Mar 14, 2020 6:46 pm

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Re: Coronavirus Pandemic (COVID-19)

Postby Bob Kuczewski » Sun Mar 15, 2020 12:44 pm

brianscharp wrote:https://www.businessinsider.com/coronavirus-testing-covid-19-tests-per-capita-chart-us-behind-2020-3

20200315_141803.png
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If you're going to post tests per million, it's also helpful to show cases per million ...

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/






































Italy409.3
                                         
Switzerland256.2
                          
Norway229.3
                       
Spain166.8
                 
Iran165.9
                 
S. Korea159.2
                
Denmark149.2
               
Qatar139.2
              
Estonia128.9
             
Bahrain125.8
             
Slovenia105.3
           
Sweden102.2
          
Austria95.5
          
Belgium76.4
        
Germany69.4
       
France68.9
       
Netherlands66.2
       
China56.2
      
Finland44.0
    
Singapore38.6
    
Ireland34.4
   
Greece31.8
   
Cyprus27.3
   
Kuwait26.2
   
Israel24.6
  
Portugal24.0
  
Czechia23.6
  
UK20.2
  
Hong Kong19.9
  
Latvia15.9
  
Albania14.6
 
Lebanon14.5
 
Malaysia13.2
 
Croatia11.9
 
Australia11.8
 
Slovakia11.2
 
USA10.1
 
Panama9.9
 
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Re: Coronavirus Pandemic (COVID-19)

Postby brianscharp » Sun Mar 15, 2020 5:32 pm

https://medium.com/@andreasbackhausab/c ... 200a15a7bf
Coronavirus: Why it’s so deadly in Italy
Andreas Backhaus

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Hence, the question remains why the age distribution of cases is shaped so differently in Italy compared to South Korea. It has also been pointed out that the testing procedures for coronavirus in the countries are very different — Italy has predominantly been testing people with symptoms of a coronavirus infection, while South Korea has been testing basically everyone since the outbreak had become apparent. Consequently, South Korea has detected more asymptomatic, but positive cases of coronavirus than Italy, in particular among young people.


The bottom line is that the coronavirus hit Italy and South Korea very differently in terms of age at around the same time and the same level of the outbreak — at least the level that we noticed in terms of confirmed cases — thereby causing a much higher number of deaths in Italy. An implication is that simply tracing the number of confirmed coronavirus cases by country over time, as many graphs and website currently do, is not telling the full story. The raw number of cases is a rather poor predictor of deaths by COVID-19, at least in the short-run. If the virus spreads predominantly among young people, as appears to have been the case in South Korea, there is no immediate risk of collapse to the hospitals. However, if it spreads to the old population, as in Italy, collapse is looming; and it might be a matter of days. When (not if) this happens is another factor that is hard to predict, as some efforts are underway.
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Re: Coronavirus Pandemic (COVID-19)

Postby brianscharp » Mon Mar 16, 2020 12:25 pm

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Re: Coronavirus Pandemic (COVID-19)

Postby Bob Kuczewski » Mon Mar 16, 2020 4:36 pm

I'm no expert, but with a virus that can survive for hours in both air and on surfaces, and is infectious long before symptoms appear, it seems very unlikely that many of us will escape getting it sooner or later.

I am hopeful that the reported death rate of about 1 in 30 is based on a gross under-reporting of the actual rate of infection. Otherwise, it's going to make paragliding in the Owens look relatively ... safe.
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Re: Coronavirus Pandemic (COVID-19)

Postby Bob Kuczewski » Tue Mar 17, 2020 5:50 am

From Barbara Bry:

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