Coronavirus Pandemic (COVID-19)

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Re: Coronavirus Pandemic (COVID-19)

Postby brianscharp » Fri May 01, 2020 9:05 am

With a little over 4% of the world's population, the US currently has over 25% of its COVID-19 deaths.

Our death totals, our numbers, per million people, are really very, very strong. We're very proud of the job we've done.
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Re: Coronavirus Pandemic (COVID-19)

Postby Bob Kuczewski » Fri May 01, 2020 8:19 pm

brianscharp wrote:With a little over 4% of the world's population, the US currently has over 25% of its COVID-19 deaths.


With a little over 5.8% of the United States' population, New York state has over 35% of the U.S. COVID-19 deaths.

Where's your ire over that statistic, Brian?   Oh, that's right, Cuomo is a Democrat.

Bill got it exactly right in a single word ... "TRUMP".   I would add "derangement syndrome", but then I'm not as diplomatic as Bill.
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Re: Coronavirus Pandemic (COVID-19)

Postby Bob Kuczewski » Tue May 05, 2020 5:41 pm

The daily cases and deaths seem to have stabilized in the United States:

20200505_Cases.png
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20200505_Deaths.png
20200505_Deaths.png (30.54 KiB) Viewed 2106 times


It's interesting to note the weekly periodicity of both curves.
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Re: Coronavirus Pandemic (COVID-19)

Postby Bob Kuczewski » Tue May 12, 2020 3:57 am

Some historical perspective from Wikipedia ...




























 


Date(s)DeathsLocationEventDisease
165–180 (possibly up to 190) 5–10 million Roman Empire Antonine Plague Unknown, possibly smallpox
541–542 25–100 million (40–50% of population of Europe) Europe and West Asia Plague of Justinian Plague
1346–1353 75–200 million (10–60% of European population) Europe, Asia and North Africa Black Death Plague
1772 2 million+ Persia Persian Plague Plague
1855–1860 12 million+ in India and China alone Worldwide Third plague pandemic Bubonic plague
1889–1890 1 million Worldwide 1889–1890 flu pandemic Influenza
1915–1926 1.5 million Worldwide 1915 Encephalitis lethargica pandemic Encephalitis lethargica
1918–1920 17-100 million Worldwide Spanish flu (pandemic) Influenza A virus subtype H1N1
1918–1922 2.5 million (estimated) Russia  Typhus
1957–1958 1-4 million Worldwide Asian flu Influenza A virus subtype H2N2
1968–1970 1-4 million Worldwide Hong Kong flu Influenza A virus subtype H3N2
2017–2018 60,000–80,000+ United States 2017–18 United States flu season Seasonal influenza
2019–present 285,743
(As of 11 May 2020)
Worldwide COVID-19 pandemic COVID-19 / SARS-CoV-2
1877–1977 500 million Worldwide   Smallpox
1981–present (data as of 2018) 32 million+ (23.6–43.8 million) Worldwide HIV/AIDS pandemic HIV/AIDS
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Re: Coronavirus Pandemic (COVID-19)

Postby Bob Kuczewski » Wed May 13, 2020 6:22 am

All Deaths and COVID-19 Deaths in the United States by Week

  Data from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control at time of post:
      Web page: https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/COVID19/index.htm
      Download: https://data.cdc.gov/api/views/r8kw-7aa ... ormat=true
















Week EndingAll Deaths in U.S.COVID-19 Deaths in U.S.
2/1/202057,4830
2/8/202057,9531
2/15/202057,2780
2/22/202057,2742
2/29/202057,5507
3/7/202057,20329
3/14/202055,58051
3/21/202055,660507
3/28/202058,7932,793
4/4/202066,4058,537
4/11/202071,27813,496
4/18/202065,93713,077
4/25/202054,5818,872
5/2/202035,8533,277
5/9/202012,042846


As the footnotes below indicate, some of these weekly totals (especially in more recent weeks) are not yet complete.

CDC wrote:NOTE: Number of deaths reported in this table are the total number of deaths received and coded as of the date of analysis and do not represent all deaths that occurred in that period. The United States population, based on 2018 postcensal estimates from the U.S. Census Bureau, is 327,167,434.

* Data during this period are incomplete because of the lag in time between when the death occurred and when the death certificate is completed, submitted to NCHS and processed for reporting purposes. This delay can range from 1 week to 8 weeks or more, depending on the jurisdiction, age, and cause of death.
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Re: Coronavirus Pandemic (COVID-19)

Postby Bob Kuczewski » Sun May 24, 2020 2:23 am

World Data by Country (sorted by deaths per million)

20200524_World.png


U.S. Data by States (sorted by deaths per million)

20200524_US.png


U.S. Daily Deaths over Time

20200524_Deaths.png
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U.S. Daily Cases over Time

20200524_Cases.png
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Data from: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
 
 
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Re: Coronavirus Pandemic (COVID-19)

Postby Bob Kuczewski » Fri Jun 12, 2020 10:04 am

Current data for the United States:

20200612_Cases.png
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20200612_Deaths.png
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Re: Coronavirus Pandemic (COVID-19)

Postby brianscharp » Tue Jun 16, 2020 8:23 am

"If you don't test, you don't have any cases."
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Re: Coronavirus Pandemic (COVID-19)

Postby Bob Kuczewski » Sun Jun 21, 2020 10:41 am

brianscharp wrote:"If you don't test, you don't have any cases."

That's not true. Thousands of people suddenly showing up with similar symptoms will be classified as "cases" whether there is any testing or not. Without testing, you may show fewer asymptomatic cases, but you will still have symptomatic cases.

Here are the latest charts:

20200621_103649.png
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20200621_103540.png
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The daily cases has been relatively flat while the daily deaths has continued to decrease. If this were "herd immunity" then the cases should be decreasing also. With increased testing, we would also expect the number of cases to increase. This pattern may be explained by better treatment along with a reduction (or better protection) of those most at risk for death.
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Re: Coronavirus Pandemic (COVID-19)

Postby Bob Kuczewski » Tue Jun 23, 2020 4:18 am

Current U.S. Data

Cases_US_20200623_0409.png
Cases_US_20200623_0409.png (63.04 KiB) Viewed 1390 times

Deaths_US_20200623_0411.png
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